IPL and Cricket Prediction Markets: The Underpriced Frontier
The toss was called at 7:27 PM IST. By 7:29 PM, three separate Polymarket markets on the match had moved….
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NFL Prediction Markets: A Trader Guide for the 2026 Season
The Thursday Night injury report lands at 4:00 PM Eastern. By 4:06 PM, the Polymarket game winner market for Sunday’s…
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Execution Speed in Prediction Markets: Why Milliseconds Cost Cents
The news broke at 14:23:04. A trader with a WebSocket connection and a pre-built trigger had a limit order in…
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Slippage in Prediction Markets: What Your Fill Actually Cost You
You made money on the trade. YES resolved, $1 paid out, position closed. But somewhere between the price you saw…
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Limit Orders vs Market Orders in Prediction Markets: When Each Wins
You thought you were buying at 0.54. The screen said 0.54. You clicked buy, set the size, confirmed. Your fill…
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Prediction Market Data as Alternative Data: What Funds Actually Use It For
The portfolio manager had been watching a Polymarket FDA approval market for three weeks. When the YES price climbed from…
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Using LLMs to Research Prediction Markets
You asked an AI model about a Senate race. It gave you a confident answer with structured reasoning, cited polling…
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Exposure Management: How to Stop One Event From Sinking Your Book
The US election settled on Polymarket in a single evening in November 2024. Some traders lost one position that night….
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Superforecasters, AI Models, and Markets: Who Calibrates Best?
Philip Tetlock ran a 20-year experiment. He asked thousands of experts to make probabilistic predictions about future events. Political scientists….
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Real-Time Prediction Market Data: Sources, Latency, and What Clean Feeds Cost
Before you can act on a Polymarket edge, the price has to be correct. Before the price can be correct,…
