Line Movement in Prediction Markets: Reading Sharp Moves Before They Finish
The Polymarket market on a top-flight football match moved 6 cents in 11 minutes with no visible news. No injury…
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Trading the News: An Event Driven Playbook for Prediction Markets
The team sheet dropped at 12:00. By 12:03 the Polymarket match winner market had moved 11 cents. By 12:07 it…
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How to Read Polymarket Signals: A Field Guide
You open a market you have been watching. The price jumped 7 cents in 20 minutes. Volume is up. There…
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Trading Signals That Actually Move Event Markets
The injury confirmation dropped at 2:14 PM. By 2:17 PM the Polymarket price had moved 9 cents. By 2:19 PM…
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Sentiment Analysis for Event Markets: Separating Noise From Signal
Ninety minutes before the 2024 US presidential election markets closed, Twitter was overwhelmingly bullish on one candidate. The crowd was…
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Automating Polymarket Trades: What Is Possible, Allowed, and Breaks
The edge closes before you can act on it. You know this because it has happened to you at least…
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The Polymarket API: What Data You Can Pull and What to Build With It
Every price you see on Polymarket exists in a data feed you can access right now, without permission, without an…
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Is Polymarket Worth It in 2026? An Honest Assessment
Before you fund a Polymarket wallet, you deserve a straight answer instead of a review written by someone who benefits…
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How to Track Your Polymarket P&L (And Why Most Traders Get It Wrong)
Polymarket’s native interface will tell you your balance. It will not tell you whether you are a good trader. Those…
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Negative Risk and Intra-Market Arbitrage on Polymarket
The Polymarket market had five candidates listed. Four of them were clearly priced wrong. The five YES prices added up…
